Graham Formula:
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The Graham Formula is a method for estimating the intrinsic value of a stock based on its earnings, growth rate, and current bond yields. It provides a simple way to assess whether a stock might be undervalued or overvalued.
The calculator uses the simplified Graham formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula adjusts the traditional P/E ratio for growth and compares it to bond yields to determine fair value.
Details: Calculating intrinsic value helps investors make informed decisions about buying or selling stocks, providing a fundamental anchor for valuation.
Tips: Enter EPS in USD, growth rate as percentage, and current bond yield as percentage. All values must be positive.
Q1: What EPS should I use?
A: Use trailing twelve months (TTM) EPS or normalized earnings for cyclical companies.
Q2: How to estimate growth rate (g)?
A: Use historical growth rates, analyst estimates, or a conservative estimate based on the company's fundamentals.
Q3: Which bond yield should I use?
A: Typically use the 10-year Treasury yield as the risk-free rate benchmark.
Q4: What are the formula's limitations?
A: It works best for stable, mature companies and doesn't account for competitive advantages or specific risks.
Q5: How should I interpret the results?
A: Compare the calculated value to the current market price - a higher intrinsic value suggests potential undervaluation.