Expected Utility Formula:
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Expected Utility (EU) is a concept in decision theory that calculates the average utility of all possible outcomes of a stock investment, weighted by their probabilities. It helps investors make rational decisions under uncertainty.
The calculator uses the Expected Utility formula:
Where:
Explanation: The equation calculates the weighted average of utilities, where weights are the probabilities of each outcome.
Details: Expected Utility helps investors compare different investment options by considering both potential returns and the investor's risk preferences.
Tips: Enter probabilities (must sum to ≤1) and corresponding utility values. Probabilities must be between 0 and 1.
Q1: What is utility in this context?
A: Utility represents the subjective value or satisfaction an investor derives from a particular investment outcome.
Q2: How many outcomes can I analyze?
A: This calculator handles two outcomes. For more complex scenarios, you would need to extend the calculation.
Q3: What's a good expected utility value?
A: Higher values indicate more preferred options, but the absolute value depends on your utility scale.
Q4: How do probabilities affect the result?
A: Higher probability outcomes have greater influence on the final expected utility.
Q5: Can I use this for portfolio analysis?
A: Yes, you can calculate EU for different portfolio options to compare them.